The stock market bulletin records notable developments, providing investors with multi-dimensional information about trends and growth potential. Below is a summary of some of the highlights and analysis of the market situation in the form of a bulletin.
VIC shares maintained the positive momentum for the VN-Index, mid-cap stocks surged, and the oil and gas sector became the focal point.
Although only 4 out of the 10 largest capitalized stocks on the VN-Index managed to close in positive territory, VIC alone provided a significant boost. This single stock contributed 5 points, while the overall increase in the index was less than 1 point.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VIC, ATC, VPB, TPB, BID, HDB, MBB, SSB, STB, TCB
- Analysis: The strong presence of net foreign buying indicates strengthening confidence in market prospects. This creates opportunities for investors to consider blue-chip stocks with solid fundamentals, while also noting the risks of a market heavily reliant on a few large-cap stocks. Investment strategies could focus on mid-cap stocks with strong inflows, combined with risk management through portfolio diversification.
The market continues its "green" trend, with money shifting towards small and medium-sized stocks.
The fact that the number of declining stocks was almost double the number of rising stocks did not prevent the VN-Index from increasing in the morning session. The strong increase of VIC by 3,261 TP3T, reaching near its historical high, alone was enough to ensure the index remained in positive territory.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VIC, VHM, GAS, VPB, HPG, VNM, VJC, VRE, SHB, HDB
- Analysis: The market phenomenon of "green on the outside, red underneath" along with the shift of capital towards small and medium-sized stocks indicates a clear divergence in investor sentiment. Investors should exercise caution, prioritize stocks with clear growth stories, and avoid FOMO (fear of missing out) driven by the crowd. This is an opportune time to restructure portfolios, seek opportunities in companies with sustainable profits and reasonable valuations, and always set stop-loss levels to protect capital.
The market needs consensus from large-cap stock groups.
The VNI nearly turned red thanks to the efforts of VIC, GAS, BSR, and FPT. Banks were quite weak and faced increasing pressure towards the end of the session, causing the index to almost reach 1900 points before falling again. If the leading group still lacks consensus, the historical resistance level will remain difficult to overcome.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VNI, VIC, GAS, BSR, FPT, VHM, TCB, BID, VPB, STB
- Assessment: The lack of consensus among leading stocks, particularly the weakness in the banking sector, is a major obstacle to overcoming historical resistance levels. Investors need to patiently observe and wait for confirmation from large capital inflows and the spread of strength across the market. At this time, investment should be selective, prioritizing stocks with strong fundamentals that have corrected to attractive support levels, and portfolio weighting should be carefully managed to minimize risk.
US stocks lost momentum as Nvidia shares were sold off and oil prices fluctuated sharply.
The SP 500 and Nasdaq fell, pressured by a sharp drop in Nvidia shares, while the Dow Jones rose slightly.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impacts: AMD, CIO, CNBC, IGV, PPI, WTI, OPEC
- Assessment: Negative developments in international markets, particularly the sell-off pressure on major technology stocks like Nvidia, could create a cautious sentiment globally. While the direct impact on domestic markets may not be significant, investors still need to assess the risks from oil price volatility and international macroeconomic conditions. This is a time to focus on sectors less sensitive to global fluctuations or those likely to benefit from domestic policies, while maintaining a reasonable cash allocation.
Gold prices remained below $5,200/oz while awaiting news on nuclear negotiations.
The SPDR Gold Trust recorded its fourth consecutive session of net gold purchases, but the volume of purchases was significantly lower than in previous sessions.
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: SPDR
- Analysis: The stagnation of gold prices around $5,200/oz suggests the market is awaiting clearer information regarding nuclear negotiations. Although large funds remain net buyers, the reduced volume indicates a certain degree of caution. For investors, gold remains a safe-haven asset amidst geopolitical instability, but the risk of significant volatility should be considered when breakthrough information emerges. A possible strategy is to gradually accumulate gold during price corrections or hold a portion of the portfolio for the long term.
The yen exchange rate is fluctuating amid conflicting signals from Japan.
This week, the yen faced downward pressure from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's dovish policy stance, but was also supported by signals of an interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: BOJ
- Analysis: The fluctuation in the yen exchange rate reflects uncertainty in Japan's monetary policy, caught between maintaining an accommodative policy and pressure to raise interest rates. International currency fluctuations can indirectly affect global investment flows. Investors should closely monitor these developments, especially if they involve import/export businesses or international investments. This is a time to prioritize assets that are less sensitive to exchange rate fluctuations or have clear hedging capabilities.
UBS forecasts gold prices to reach $6,200 by mid-2026.
UBS analysts believe that gold prices have yet to fully reflect geopolitical tensions related to Iran, the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) continuing to cut interest rates, and increasing global demand for gold.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: UBS, WGC
- Analysis: UBS's strong bullish forecast for gold in the medium term indicates significant potential for this precious metal, supported by geopolitical tensions, the possibility of a Fed interest rate cut, and increasing demand. This presents a worthwhile long-term investment opportunity for those seeking a safe haven and asset preservation. However, investors should understand that forecasts are for reference only and do not exclude short-term fluctuations. A reasonable allocation of gold within an overall portfolio, based on individual risk tolerance, is recommended.
The stock market news bulletin aims to provide investors with an overview, while emphasizing the importance of careful analysis before making investment decisions. Following market news from HVA The provision will help investors seize opportunities from short-term fluctuations and adjust their portfolios in line with market trends.
