On January 15, 2025, the stock market news bulletin recorded remarkable developments, providing investors with multi-dimensional information about trends and growth potential. Below is a summary of some outstanding news and analysis of the market situation.
Vietnam's stock market may continue to decline, experts recommend reducing stock weight to 20-30% and waiting for bottoming signals
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: VN-Index, large-cap stocks
- Comment: The short-term downtrend is returning, VN-Index may test the 1,210 point zone. Investors should be cautious, reduce stock proportion and wait for a clearer bottom signal before disbursing again.
US inflation remains above target, Fed cautious about rate cuts
- US CPI data for December will be released on January 15, expected to rise 2.91% YoY, still above the Fed’s target of 21% YoY, which could reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts in the coming quarters.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VN-Index, HNX-Index, VN30-Index
- Comment: US inflation remains higher than target, which may make the Fed more cautious in cutting interest rates. This may impact foreign capital flows into the Vietnamese stock market in the short term. However, the long-term outlook remains positive.
VN-Index corrected sharply, liquidity dried up due to increased selling pressure from large-cap stocks
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: VN-Index, HDB, YEG, NLG, VDS
- Comment: Selling pressure may continue in the short term, especially on large-cap stocks. VN-Index is likely to retest the support zone of 1,210 points. However, the market may soon find a balance when the Q4/2024 business results report is announced.
Dragon Capital: Real estate and stocks are the most potential investment channels in 2025
- According to Dragon Capital's analysis, real estate and securities are rated the highest among investment channels in 2025, with a score of 3.5-4/5. Public investment and domestic consumption are forecasted to be the main growth drivers of the economy.
- Signal: Positive
- Impact on: VN-Index, HNX-Index, real estate and banking stocks
- Comment: Positive outlook for the stock and real estate markets in 2025. Investors should pay attention to stocks with clear growth potential and benefit directly from government support policies.
Vietnam's stock market is thirsty for cash flow, liquidity has decreased sharply in early 2025. VN-Index is unlikely to surpass 1,300 points due to record net selling by foreign investors. Many businesses face risks from pressure from exchange rates and rising interest rates.
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: VN-Index, banking stocks, real estate, securities
- Comment: Weak liquidity and continuous net foreign selling put pressure on the market. Key industries face many challenges. Investors should be cautious and focus on businesses with strong financial foundations.
Gloomy stock market, cash flow finds opportunities in small stocks and public investment
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VN-Index, YEG, VCG, HHV, LCG
- Comment: The market is in a downtrend, but there are signs of forming a technical bottom. Cash flow is shifting to some small stocks and public investment groups. Investors should be cautious and wait for clearer signals from the market.
Mobifone Service's MFS shares hit the ceiling of 14.9%, reaching a 6-month high. Liquidity reached its peak since listing, with more than 700,000 shares traded.
- Signal: Positive
- Impact on: MFS, VN-Index
- Comment: MFS's strong growth could have a positive effect on telecommunications and information technology stocks. However, further monitoring is needed to determine the long-term trend, as the company's 2024 business plan is still cautious.
VN-Index drops sharply, approaching 1,220 points in the morning session of January 13
- The Vietnamese stock market continued to be in the red, with the VN-Index falling 7.58 points (-0.62%) to 1,222.9 points. Selling pressure increased, especially in the banking and securities groups.
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: VN-Index, HNX-Index, UPCoM-Index, banking and securities stocks
- Comment: The market is in a short-term downtrend, with weak liquidity and cash outflows. However, the 1,230-point area could be an important support for the VN-Index, creating an opportunity for a technical recovery.
Open-end funds expected to 'dominate' Vietnam's stock market by 2025
- Fund management companies are planning to launch many new open-end funds in 2025, targeting individual investors. The impressive performance of funds in 2024 is the main driver of this trend.
- Signal: Positive
- Impact on: VN-Index, bank stocks and securities companies
- Comment: The development of open-end funds can attract new money into the market, especially from individual investors. This can boost liquidity and stock prices, especially blue-chips favored by funds.
VN30 removes loss-making enterprise stocks, limits maximum industry weight to 40%
- Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange adjusted the VN30 criteria, eliminating loss-making enterprise stocks and limiting the maximum industry capitalization ratio to 40% to improve the quality of the index basket.
- Signal: Positive
- Impact on: VN30, banking stocks in VN30
- Comment: This adjustment helps improve the quality of VN30, attracting investors. However, it may cause short-term fluctuations when some stocks are removed from the basket. In the long term, it will create confidence and stability for the market.
The stock market news bulletin aims to provide investors with an overview, while emphasizing the importance of careful analysis before making investment decisions. Following market news from HVA The provision will help investors seize opportunities from short-term fluctuations and adjust their portfolios in line with market trends.
