The stock market bulletin records notable developments, providing investors with multi-dimensional information about trends and growth potential. Below is a summary of some of the highlights and analysis of the market situation in the form of a bulletin.
Oil and gas stocks plunged, but bargain-hunting investors held firm against stop-loss pressure.
The VN-Index showed signs of significant weakness, even turning red at times, but stock prices did not decline across the board. The main reason was the weakening of some large-cap stocks, especially the oil and gas sector, while bargain-hunting activity remained strong in other stocks.
-
-
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VIC, VHM, GAS, PLX, HNX, BSR, PVT, PVC, PVS, OIL
- Analysis: The sharp decline in oil and gas stocks, coupled with bargain hunting, suggests investors are seeking opportunities at more attractive price levels after the correction. However, the weakness of leading stocks could put pressure on the overall index in the short term, requiring investors to carefully assess the outlook for oil prices and the business performance of companies before deciding to invest. A buy-and-gain strategy may be suitable, but it requires proper capital allocation and clear stop-loss levels to manage risk.
-
Stocks reversed course, driven by plummeting oil prices and a surge in foreign buying.
The sharp correction in global oil prices, seen as a signal of reduced conflict tensions, helped global stock markets recover. The VN-Index reversed course and surged 2,191 TP3T in the session, with the number of gainers exceeding losers by 2.5 times. Foreign investors also saw a dramatic increase in disbursements, the highest in eight sessions.
-
-
- Signal: Positive
- Impact on: GAS, VIC, VCB, VHM, BID, CTG, TCB, MBB, HPG, VPB
- Assessment: The drop in oil prices has partially eased inflationary pressures and recession fears, providing strong impetus for the recovery of global stock markets. The surge in foreign capital inflows reflects confidence in the potential of the Vietnamese market, especially as macroeconomic factors are gradually stabilizing. This is a positive signal reinforcing the short-term upward trend, opening opportunities for investors to participate in sectors with strong fundamentals, but close monitoring of geopolitical developments is still necessary to respond promptly.
-
The underlying market rebounded strongly, but the derivatives market remained cautious.
Lower global oil prices created favorable conditions for a rebound in global stock markets. Domestically, stocks also rose across the board, although they are still far from recovering from the previous day's sharp decline. Surprisingly, the derivatives market maintained a discount, reflecting the high level of caution among investors.
-
-
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VNI, VIC, VHM, GAS, BID, HSX
- Analysis: The recovery in the underlying market indicates improving investor sentiment after sharp corrections; however, caution in the derivatives market suggests underlying concerns about the sustainability of the upward trend. This could present an opportunity for investors to restructure their portfolios, prioritizing stocks with attractive valuations and strong resilience. The continued discount in derivatives suggests that investors should maintain a portion of their cash holdings and avoid excessive leverage to effectively manage risk.
-
ETFs are experiencing massive net outflows.
Capital flows through ETFs investing in the Vietnamese stock market recorded a net outflow of VND 729 billion.
-
-
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: FTSE, CGS, VFM, VIC, VHM, HPG, MSN, VCB, VIX, STB
- Analysis: Large-scale net outflows from ETFs could create significant selling pressure on some stocks in the basket, especially those with large weightings. While this may simply be a routine portfolio restructuring, investors should closely monitor this development to assess its impact on liquidity and short-term stock price volatility. This could present an opportunity to buy good stocks affected by ETF selling pressure if the businesses remain unchanged in the long term; however, a cautious capital allocation strategy is necessary.
-
February 2026: Liquidity on HNX decreased by 23,59%
According to HNX, the stock market will be closed for the Lunar New Year holiday in February 2026, resulting in only 15 trading sessions for HNX-listed stocks; however, stock prices are expected to experience significant fluctuations.
-
-
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: HNX
- Analysis: Liquidity on the HNX decreased significantly during the Lunar New Year holiday month, reflecting investor caution and lower trading volume during this period. While stock price volatility remains strong, the reduced liquidity may make some stocks more vulnerable to large capital inflows. Investors should focus on stocks with strong fundamentals and clear growth stories, and avoid those with excessively low liquidity to mitigate the risk of unpredictable price fluctuations, while patiently waiting for clearer market signals.
-
The 15-year history shows that the VN-Index often rebounds strongly after sessions of sharp declines.
The VN-Index recorded gains in 80% in similar cases after only 2-4 weeks, with an average return of 6.6% after 1 month and 30% after 1 year.
-
-
- Signal: Positive
- Impact on: SSI, FTSE, LNG, OPEC, BSR, NSR, PVD, PVS
- Assessment: Historical data from the past 15 years provides an optimistic outlook on the VN-Index's ability to recover from sharp declines, suggesting that the Vietnamese market has significant resilience and medium-term profit potential. This is a positive signal encouraging long-term investors to take advantage of correction phases to accumulate promising stocks. However, past performance does not guarantee the future; therefore, thorough analysis of current macroeconomic and microeconomic factors remains necessary to make smart investment decisions and manage risks appropriately.
-
The prospect of an upgrade is overshadowed by the risks of Middle Eastern conflict, and capital flows are actively shifting.
Money is increasingly flowing to safe-haven markets like the US, clearly demonstrated by the US dollar index (DXY) rising above 99 points, approaching the 100 mark, its highest level since January 2026, while safe-haven assets like gold are even declining in price.
-
-
- Signal: Neutral
- Impacts: DXY, FTSE, IVS, MSCI, CCP, KRX
- Assessment: Complex geopolitical factors, particularly conflicts in the Middle East, are creating global instability, causing capital flows to shift towards safe-haven assets like the USD, overshadowing the prospect of upgrading Vietnam's market status in the short term. This risk necessitates careful portfolio management by investors, minimizing risks from politically volatile assets and prioritizing companies with stable operations and minimal dependence on external factors. This is an opportune time to restructure portfolios and maintain a reasonable cash allocation.
-
It is estimated that two foreign ETFs are about to sell 35 million HPG shares.
The two ETFs slated for restructuring will sell a maximum of 35 million HPG shares, 5.6 million NVL shares, 4.2 million FPT shares, 6 million VIC shares, and 16 million SHB shares.
-
-
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: HPG, NVL, FPT, VIC, SHB, BSC, MCH, CTR, BID, DPM
- Analysis: The restructuring of ETF portfolios and the sale of large quantities of shares such as HPG, NVL, FPT, VIC, and SHB could create short-term downward pressure on these stocks, especially HPG with its estimated large selling volume. Investors need to monitor the timing and actual selling volume to avoid unexpected dips and plan accordingly. However, if the selling pressure is purely technical from the ETFs and does not reflect any internal changes in the companies, this could be an opportunity for long-term investors to buy at more attractive prices after this correction, but patience and a long-term perspective are necessary.
-
The stock market news bulletin aims to provide investors with an overview, while emphasizing the importance of careful analysis before making investment decisions. Following market news from HVA The provision will help investors seize opportunities from short-term fluctuations and adjust their portfolios in line with market trends.
