The stock market bulletin records notable developments, providing investors with multi-dimensional information about trends and growth potential. Below is a summary of some of the highlights and analysis of the market situation in the form of a bulletin.
Strong cash flow into oil and gas equipment stocks and domestic institutional participation
The proportion of cash flow in the oil and gas equipment group increased from 0.99% to 2.99%, the highest in the past 2 months, showing a clear return of demand. The price index increased sharply by +6.37%, led by PVD, PVS, PVC.
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: PVD, PVS, PVC, FPT, MSN, ACB, VJC, HPG, VNM, HAH
- Comment: The strong cash flow into the oil and gas equipment group, along with the participation of domestic organizations, shows a positive short-term outlook for this industry. Investors can consider accumulating potential stocks in the industry when there is a correction, while managing risks when prices have increased sharply to avoid buying at the peak.
The market is not selling off, efforts to differentiate are slowing down the correction
The market has not fallen into a state of “panic” as many analysts feared. Trading is weak, stocks are falling more, but there is no sell-off. VN-Index is still anchored in the 1590-1600 point range.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VIC, HPG, VHM, CTG, FPT, VCB, BID, MBB, HDB, VRE
- Comment: The absence of selling pressure despite the market correction shows that investor sentiment is still relatively stable, preventing a deep decline. This is an opportunity for the market to consolidate and find a new equilibrium point. Investors should prioritize stocks with good fundamentals and reasonable valuations during this period of differentiation to seek long-term opportunities.
The market officially "says goodbye" to the 1600 point mark, money shrinks to defend and liquidity drops sharply
A rebound in the early afternoon session brought the VN-Index back to 1,609.49 points. However, all hopes were quickly dashed by a price squeeze on pillar stocks. The index closed with a loss of 18.56 points, down to 1,580.54 points.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VIC, VHM, FPT, CTG, GAS, MBB, SSI, HPG, TCB, GEX
- Comment: The VN-Index losing the 1600-point mark and the sharp decline in liquidity reflects a cautious sentiment, with cash flow tending to be defensive. Investors should prioritize a safe strategy, reduce margin ratio and restructure their portfolio towards defensive stocks or stocks with clear long-term growth prospects, avoiding unexpected fluctuations.
Investors need to be careful with margin and interest rate hikes.
Many signals are showing that liquidity is becoming less abundant and interest rates will have to increase in the near future. The stock market in the short term is always most affected by interest rate trends.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: SGI, FTSE
- Comment: Information about the possibility of increasing interest rates and less abundant liquidity is a big risk factor for the stock market, especially for investors using high margins. This is the time to be extremely cautious, consider reducing financial leverage and reassess the prospects of interest-sensitive businesses, prioritizing capital preservation.
Excluding Vingroup group, VN-Index is at 1398 points and many stocks have returned.
Since the peak near 1,800 points, the VN-Index has decreased by nearly 111 points per 3 days, however, some stocks in groups such as Securities, Banking, and Real Estate have decreased by 20-301 points per 3 days.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: MBS, KBSV, MSCI
- Comment: The analysis shows the great influence of Vingroup group on the general index, and if excluded, the actual market is at a lower point, with many stocks having fallen deeply. This can open up investment opportunities for mid- and small-cap stocks with recovery potential, especially in industries with separate stories, requiring investors to be selective and have a long-term vision.
Market begins harsh test
The closing pressure not only created a bull trap that trapped more stocks but also “broke” the last hope of the 1600-point mark of VNI. There is a risk of falling to a deeper support level and that is a harsh test for the ability to “bear losses”.
- Signal: Neutral
- Impact on: VNI, VIC, CTG, TCB, VPB, MBB
- Comment: The VN-Index losing the 1,600-point mark due to late-session pressure creates a big challenge for investors, especially those holding loss-making stocks. The risk of further decline is real, so investors need to seriously reassess their risk tolerance and have a clear portfolio management plan to avoid the situation of 'holding on to losses' for a long time.
The US dollar is stabilizing after a period of strong volatility.
Some fund managers also say the US dollar is gradually regaining its traditional role as a “stabilizer” in their portfolios.
- Signal: Negative
- Impact on: CME, ING, PGIM
- Comment: The stability of the USD after a period of strong fluctuations can bring positive factors to emerging markets like Vietnam, reducing pressure on exchange rates and domestic interest rates. This helps import-export enterprises to be more proactive in their business plans, and can attract indirect investment flows if the macro situation is more stable.
Gold prices await catalyst to break out of $4,000/oz zone
Some experts say gold prices may continue to fluctuate around the $4,000/oz mark in the coming weeks, but the chance of an increase is still greater than the risk of a decrease.
- Signal: Positive
- Impact on:
- Comment: Although gold prices are struggling, experts believe that the opportunity for price increase is still greater, showing the potential for a breakout if there is a suitable catalyst. Investors interested in safe-haven assets can consider buying gold during corrections, but need to closely monitor global macro factors to determine the optimal time to invest.
The stock market news bulletin aims to provide investors with an overview, while emphasizing the importance of careful analysis before making investment decisions. Following market news from HVA The provision will help investors seize opportunities from short-term fluctuations and adjust their portfolios in line with market trends.
